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PRJ-2026-020Off track7ExecutionConstruction

Wadi Al-Rummah Bridge

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A 2.4 km bridge over Wadi Al-Rummah linking north and south and cutting 47 km off the trip.

Early warning: ⁦81%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦60⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 345M

Actual cost

SAR 159.8M

⁦46%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦44%⁩

Planned ⁦55%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 363.2M

SAR +18.2M

SPI · CPI

0.80Schedule performance index · 0.800.95Cost performance index · 0.95

Forecast finish

⁦2027-08-03⁩

64 days behind baseline

ExecutionPhase ⁦7⁩ of ⁦11⁩

Next gate:Monitoring & Control29 December 2026

  1. Idea · CompleteIdea · Complete
  2. Gate into «Feasibility»DecisionGoDate15 December 2023Feasibility · CompleteFeasibility · Complete
  3. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate3 April 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  4. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate2 June 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  5. Gate into «Approval»DecisionGoDate27 July 2024Approval · CompleteApproval · Complete
  6. Gate into «Procurement»DecisionGoDate28 August 2024Procurement · CompleteProcurement · Complete
  7. Gate into «Execution»DecisionConditional goDate24 November 2024Execution · Current phaseExecution · Current phase
  8. Gate into «Monitoring & Control»DecisionNot held yetDate29 December 2026Monitoring & Control · Not startedMonitoring & Control · Not started
  9. Gate into «Handover»DecisionNot held yetHandover · Not startedHandover · Not started
  10. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetClosure · Not startedClosure · Not started
  11. Gate into «Benefits Realization»DecisionNot held yetBenefits Realization · Not startedBenefits Realization · Not started

Project health across eight dimensions

A weighted index, not just percent complete; each dimension leads to the tab that explains it.

Index over the last six reports

−21

May to October 2026

No material change in the health dimensions over the period.

AI insight

⁦81%⁩ chance of a further slip within ⁦60⁩ days

From the SPI trend (⁦0.80⁩), the task closure rate and the open risks, the early-warning engine expects another slip unless the resource gap is closed.

Confidence⁦82%⁩

Copilot summary

Generated from the live project data

The project is behind plan: ⁦44%⁩ done against ⁦55%⁩ planned.

SPI ⁦0.80⁩, CPI ⁦0.95⁩.

Progress & earned value

⁦3⁩ of ⁦5⁩ milestones complete

Earned-value curve

Planned, earned and actual to the data date, cumulative, with the forecast cost tail

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Budget & commitments

Commitments are ⁦92%⁩ of budget

159.8M/ 345M18.2Mprojected overrun(⁦5.3%⁩)
Actual spend
159.8M
Committed
316M
Approved budget
345M
Estimate at completion
363.2M

Next milestones

  • Provisional acceptance⁦2027-04-22⁩was ⁦2027-03-05⁩Late
  • Closure⁦2027-08-03⁩was ⁦2027-05-31⁩Late

Waiting on someone

⁦0⁩ approvals and ⁦1⁩ open actions on this project

Approvals & requests

From «My actions» for this project

  • No approvals pending

Actions

⁦1⁩ open

  • Approve the geotechnical report for piers ⁦12–16⁩Eng. Ahmed Y. AsiriIn 11 days2026-11-0828 Jumada I 1448 AHHigh

Risks & issues

2 open risks, exposure SAR 35.4M

Risk map

Probability
5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦5⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MinorMedium · Score ⁦10⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: ModerateHigh · Score ⁦15⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MajorCritical · Score ⁦20⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: SevereCritical · Score ⁦25⁩
4Probability: Likely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: MinorMedium · Score ⁦8⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score ⁦12⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: MajorHigh · Score ⁦16⁩1Probability: Likely · Impact: SevereCritical · Score ⁦20⁩RSK-0034Unforeseen ground conditions at the pier foundations in the wadi bed
3Probability: Possible · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦3⁩Probability: Possible · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦6⁩Probability: Possible · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score ⁦9⁩1Probability: Possible · Impact: MajorMedium · Score ⁦12⁩RSK-0035Pile lengths exceeding contract quantitiesProbability: Possible · Impact: SevereHigh · Score ⁦15⁩
2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦2⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: ModerateLow · Score ⁦6⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MajorMedium · Score ⁦8⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: SevereMedium · Score ⁦10⁩
1Probability: Rare · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦1⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦2⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: ModerateLow · Score ⁦3⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: MajorLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: SevereLow · Score ⁦5⁩
12345

Impact

  • Critical1
  • High0
  • Medium1
  • Low0

Deliverables

⁦2⁩ of ⁦4⁩ approved

  • Project management planDLV-020-1 · V1Eng. Ahmed Y. Asiri⁦2024-07-16⁩2024-07-1610 Muharram 1446 AHApproved
  • Main deliverable — stage 1DLV-020-2 · V1Eng. Bandar M. Al-Shammari⁦2025-12-12⁩2025-12-1221 Jumada II 1447 AHApproved
  • Main deliverable — final stageDLV-020-3 · V1Eng. Bandar M. Al-ShammariIn 62 days2026-12-2920 Rajab 1448 AHIn progress
  • Final reportDLV-020-4 · V0Eng. Bandar M. Al-ShammariIn 215 days2027-05-3125 Dhuʻl-Hijjah 1448 AHDraft

Team, contracts & documents

Team

2 members

Eng. Ahmed Y. Asiri · Director General, Roads & Bridges
  • Eng. Ahmed Y. AsiriEng. Ahmed Y. AsiriDirector General, Roads & BridgesProject managerP-020a.asiri@alwaha.gov.sa⁦50%⁩
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