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PRJ-2026-020Off track7ExecutionConstruction

Buraydah Administrative Courts Complex

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A complex for the Qassim administrative and appeal courts, with 30 courtrooms.

Early warning: ⁦81%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦60⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 345M

Actual cost

SAR 159.8M

⁦46%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦44%⁩

Planned ⁦55%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 363.2M

SAR +18.2M

SPI · CPI

0.80Schedule performance index · 0.800.95Cost performance index · 0.95

Forecast finish

⁦2027-08-03⁩

64 days behind baseline

ExecutionPhase ⁦7⁩ of ⁦11⁩

Next gate:Monitoring & Control29 December 2026

  1. Idea · CompleteIdea · Complete
  2. Gate into «Feasibility»DecisionGoDate15 December 2023Feasibility · CompleteFeasibility · Complete
  3. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate3 April 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  4. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate2 June 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  5. Gate into «Approval»DecisionGoDate27 July 2024Approval · CompleteApproval · Complete
  6. Gate into «Procurement»DecisionGoDate28 August 2024Procurement · CompleteProcurement · Complete
  7. Gate into «Execution»DecisionConditional goDate24 November 2024Execution · Current phaseExecution · Current phase
  8. Gate into «Monitoring & Control»DecisionNot held yetDate29 December 2026Monitoring & Control · Not startedMonitoring & Control · Not started
  9. Gate into «Handover»DecisionNot held yetHandover · Not startedHandover · Not started
  10. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetClosure · Not startedClosure · Not started
  11. Gate into «Benefits Realization»DecisionNot held yetBenefits Realization · Not startedBenefits Realization · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SAR 345M split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SAR 18.2M
EAC SAR 363.2M
Revised request SAR 353.4M
  • Actual spendSAR 159.8M
  • Committed, not spentSAR 156.2M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSAR 18.7M
  • Contingency availableSAR 10.4M

Budget

Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SAR 345M
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SAR 345M
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SAR 345M
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SAR 353.4M

Commitments

Commitmentssigned contracts and purchase orders
SAR 316M
Contracts2 active contracts
SAR 307.4M
Purchase orders⁦0⁩ orders
SAR 8.6M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SAR 185.2M

Spend & outlook

Actual costincluding accruals
SAR 159.8M
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SAR 6.4M
Estimate at completionthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SAR 363.2M
ContingencySAR 6.9M drawn of SAR 17.3M
SAR 10.4M

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SAR 6.9M drawn of SAR 17.3M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SAR 6.9M

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSAR MCommittedSAR MActualSAR MEACSAR MVarianceSAR MConsumption
1Management & governance20.0821.8121.8121.81⁦−1.73⁩
2Design & permits40.1643.6143.6143.61⁦−3.45⁩
3Civil works127.17122.8394.37130.47⁦−3.31⁩
4MEP works100.4087.110.00110.52⁦−10.12⁩
5Handover46.8540.650.0051.58⁦−4.72⁩
Unallocated contingency10.350.000.005.18⁦+5.18⁩
Total345.00316.00159.79363.16⁦−18.16⁩

Budget split

WBS

SAR 345M

Budget

  • Management & governanceSAR 20.1M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSAR 40.2M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSAR 127.2M⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSAR 100.4M⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSAR 46.9M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySAR 10.4M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SAR millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2029-08-30⁩+822

SPI(t) ⁦0.57⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2027-05-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SAR 310.9M
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SAR 151.8M
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SAR 159.8M
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SAR 345M
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−7.99⁩ SAR M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−159.14⁩ SAR M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.95
Value produced per riyal spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.49
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SAR 363.2M
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SAR 203.4M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−18.16⁩ SAR M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.04
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSAR 363.2M
  • If the rest goes to planSAR 353M
  • At cost and schedule performanceSAR 576.4M
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSAR 363.2M
  • To stay within SAR 345M, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.04⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SAR 363.2M

Variance at completion: ⁦−18.16⁩ SAR M

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