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PRJ-2026-004Critical7ExecutionConstruction

East Waha Wastewater Treatment Plant

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A 120,000 m³/day tertiary treatment plant with a reuse network for irrigation.

Early warning: ⁦95%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦30⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 412M

Actual cost

SAR 333.5M

⁦81%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦68%⁩

Planned ⁦92%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 490.5M

SAR +78.5M

SPI · CPI

0.74Schedule performance index · 0.740.84Cost performance index · 0.84

Forecast finish

⁦2027-02-03⁩

126 days behind baseline

ExecutionPhase ⁦7⁩ of ⁦11⁩

Next gate:Monitoring & Control14 May 2026

  1. Idea · CompleteIdea · Complete
  2. Gate into «Feasibility»DecisionConditional goDate28 July 2023Feasibility · CompleteFeasibility · Complete
  3. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate15 November 2023Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  4. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate14 January 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  5. Gate into «Approval»DecisionConditional goDate4 March 2024Approval · CompleteApproval · Complete
  6. Gate into «Procurement»DecisionGoDate2 April 2024Procurement · CompleteProcurement · Complete
  7. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate20 June 2024Execution · Current phaseExecution · Current phase
  8. Gate into «Monitoring & Control»DecisionNot held yetDate14 May 2026Monitoring & Control · Not startedMonitoring & Control · Not started
  9. Gate into «Handover»DecisionNot held yetHandover · Not startedHandover · Not started
  10. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetClosure · Not startedClosure · Not started
  11. Gate into «Benefits Realization»DecisionNot held yetBenefits Realization · Not startedBenefits Realization · Not started

Project health across eight dimensions

A weighted index, not just percent complete; each dimension leads to the tab that explains it.

Index over the last six reports

−21

May to October 2026

No material change in the health dimensions over the period.

AI insight

⁦95%⁩ chance of a further slip within ⁦30⁩ days

From the SPI trend (⁦0.74⁩), the task closure rate and the open risks, the early-warning engine expects another slip unless the resource gap is closed.

Confidence⁦82%⁩

Copilot summary

Generated from the live project data

The project is behind plan: ⁦68%⁩ done against ⁦92%⁩ planned.

SPI ⁦0.74⁩, CPI ⁦0.84⁩.

Progress & earned value

⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩ milestones complete

Earned-value curve

Planned, earned and actual to the data date, cumulative, with the forecast cost tail

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Budget & commitments

Commitments are ⁦98%⁩ of budget

333.5M/ 412M78.5Mprojected overrun(⁦19.0%⁩)
Actual spend
333.5M
Committed
404M
Approved budget
412M
Estimate at completion
490.5M

Next milestones

  • Closure⁦2027-02-03⁩was ⁦2026-09-30⁩Late

Waiting on someone

⁦1⁩ approvals and ⁦3⁩ open actions on this project

Approvals & requests

From «My actions» for this project

Actions

⁦3⁩ open

  • Appoint an independent financial adviser to audit contractor liquidityKhalid N. Al-Mutairi8 days overdue2026-10-209 Jumada I 1448 AHCritical
  • Pay subcontractors directly from the next certificateMunirah A. Al-KhalidiIn 8 days2026-11-0525 Jumada I 1448 AHCritical
  • Re-run the water-tightness test on the secondary clarifierEng. Waleed O. Al-JuhaniIn 5 days2026-11-0222 Jumada I 1448 AHHigh

Risks & issues

3 open risks, exposure SAR 53.6M

Risk map

Probability
5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦5⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MinorMedium · Score ⁦10⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: ModerateHigh · Score ⁦15⁩Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MajorCritical · Score ⁦20⁩1Probability: Almost certain · Impact: SevereCritical · Score ⁦25⁩RSK-0021Main contractor cash-flow distress and unpaid subcontractors
4Probability: Likely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: MinorMedium · Score ⁦8⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score ⁦12⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: MajorHigh · Score ⁦16⁩Probability: Likely · Impact: SevereCritical · Score ⁦20⁩
3Probability: Possible · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦3⁩Probability: Possible · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦6⁩Probability: Possible · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score ⁦9⁩1Probability: Possible · Impact: MajorMedium · Score ⁦12⁩RSK-0023Failures in the main force mains during commissioning1Probability: Possible · Impact: SevereHigh · Score ⁦15⁩RSK-0022Treated-water quality failing NCEC requirements
2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦2⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: ModerateLow · Score ⁦6⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MajorMedium · Score ⁦8⁩Probability: Unlikely · Impact: SevereMedium · Score ⁦10⁩
1Probability: Rare · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score ⁦1⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: MinorLow · Score ⁦2⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: ModerateLow · Score ⁦3⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: MajorLow · Score ⁦4⁩Probability: Rare · Impact: SevereLow · Score ⁦5⁩
12345

Impact

  • Critical1
  • High1
  • Medium1
  • Low0

Deliverables

⁦2⁩ of ⁦4⁩ approved

  • Project management planDLV-004-1 · V1Eng. Waleed O. Al-Juhani⁦2024-02-23⁩2024-02-2313 Shaʻban 1445 AHApproved
  • Main deliverable — stage 1DLV-004-2 · V1Eng. Bandar M. Al-Shammari⁦2025-06-02⁩2025-06-026 Dhuʻl-Hijjah 1446 AHApproved
  • Main deliverable — final stageDLV-004-3 · V1Eng. Bandar M. Al-Shammari167 days overdue2026-05-1427 Dhuʻl-Qiʻdah 1447 AHIn review
  • Final reportDLV-004-4 · V1Eng. Bandar M. Al-Shammari28 days overdue2026-09-3019 Rabiʻ II 1448 AHIn review

Team, contracts & documents

Team

4 members

Eng. Waleed O. Al-Juhani · Director, Utilities & Public ServicesEng. Turki A. Al-Anazi · VP, Projects & InfrastructureHaifa S. Al-Ruwaili · Senior Financial Analyst
  • Eng. Waleed O. Al-JuhaniEng. Waleed O. Al-JuhaniDirector, Utilities & Public ServicesProject managerP-021w.aljuhani@alwaha.gov.sa⁦70%⁩
  • Eng. Turki A. Al-AnaziEng. Turki A. Al-AnaziVP, Projects & InfrastructureProject sponsorP-010t.alanazi@alwaha.gov.sa⁦20%⁩
  • Haifa S. Al-RuwailiHaifa S. Al-RuwailiSenior Financial AnalystFinancial analystP-037h.alruwaili@alwaha.gov.sa⁦15%⁩
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