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PRJ-2026-013At risk7ExecutionConstruction

Smart Security & Access for Court Buildings

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4,200 cameras and smart entry gates across court buildings, with a central monitoring room and automatic visitor ID checks.

Early warning: ⁦58%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦45⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 74M

Actual cost

SAR 62.2M

⁦84%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦79%⁩

Planned ⁦90%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 78.7M

SAR +4.7M

SPI · CPI

0.88Schedule performance index · 0.880.94Cost performance index · 0.94

Forecast finish

⁦2026-12-15⁩

45 days behind baseline

ExecutionPhase ⁦7⁩ of ⁦11⁩

Next gate:Monitoring & Control5 August 2026

  1. Idea · CompleteIdea · Complete
  2. Gate into «Feasibility»DecisionGoDate30 August 2024Feasibility · CompleteFeasibility · Complete
  3. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate18 December 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  4. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate16 February 2025Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  5. Gate into «Approval»DecisionConditional goDate19 March 2025Approval · CompleteApproval · Complete
  6. Gate into «Procurement»DecisionGoDate7 April 2025Procurement · CompleteProcurement · Complete
  7. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate27 May 2025Execution · Current phaseExecution · Current phase
  8. Gate into «Monitoring & Control»DecisionNot held yetDate5 August 2026Monitoring & Control · Not startedMonitoring & Control · Not started
  9. Gate into «Handover»DecisionNot held yetHandover · Not startedHandover · Not started
  10. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetClosure · Not startedClosure · Not started
  11. Gate into «Benefits Realization»DecisionNot held yetBenefits Realization · Not startedBenefits Realization · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SAR 74M split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SAR 4.7M
EAC SAR 78.7M
Revised request SAR 74M
  • Actual spendSAR 62.2M
  • Committed, not spentSAR 6.6M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSAR 3M
  • Contingency availableSAR 2.2M

Budget

Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SAR 74M
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SAR 74M
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SAR 74M
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SAR 74M

Commitments

Commitmentssigned contracts and purchase orders
SAR 68.8M
Contracts1 active contract
SAR 61.5M
Purchase orders⁦0⁩ orders
SAR 7.3M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SAR 11.8M

Spend & outlook

Actual costincluding accruals
SAR 62.2M
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SAR 2.5M
Estimate at completionthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SAR 78.7M
ContingencySAR 1.5M drawn of SAR 3.7M
SAR 2.2M

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SAR 1.5M drawn of SAR 3.7M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SAR 1.5M

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSAR MCommittedSAR MActualSAR MEACSAR MVarianceSAR MConsumption
1Management & governance4.314.724.724.72⁦−0.42⁩
2Design & permits8.619.459.459.45⁦−0.83⁩
3Civil works27.2829.9129.9129.91⁦−2.64⁩
4MEP works21.5319.7918.1122.03⁦−0.49⁩
5Handover10.054.930.0011.50⁦−1.45⁩
Unallocated contingency2.220.000.001.11⁦+1.11⁩
Total74.0068.8062.1978.72⁦−4.72⁩

Budget split

WBS

SAR 74M

Budget

  • Management & governanceSAR 4.3M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSAR 8.6M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSAR 27.3M⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSAR 21.5M⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSAR 10M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySAR 2.2M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SAR millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2027-07-18⁩+260

SPI(t) ⁦0.71⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2026-10-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SAR 74M
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SAR 58.5M
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SAR 62.2M
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SAR 74M
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−3.73⁩ SAR M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−15.54⁩ SAR M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.94
Value produced per riyal spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.79
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SAR 78.7M
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SAR 16.5M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−4.72⁩ SAR M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.32
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSAR 78.7M
  • If the rest goes to planSAR 77.7M
  • At cost and schedule performanceSAR 83.1M
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSAR 78.7M
  • To stay within SAR 74M, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.32⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SAR 78.7M

Variance at completion: ⁦−4.72⁩ SAR M

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